Midweek Matchup: Marlins vs. Guardians — Odds, Pitching Duel, and Betting Insights
Progressive Field, Cleveland — August 13, 2025
The Cleveland Guardians (62-56) and the Miami Marlins (57-62) square off in the second game of their three-game interleague set this Wednesday evening, with first pitch scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. With both clubs navigating tight division races, tonight’s contest offers intriguing storylines on the field—and at the sportsbook.
Game 2 Preview: Guardians Take Early Lead
Cleveland narrowly claimed the series opener Tuesday night with a 4–3 win, cashing in as -130 favorites. The game stayed under the 8.5-run total—marking another low-scoring outing for a Guardians squad that has leaned heavily on its pitching staff.
Star third baseman José Ramírez delivered a historic performance, going 3-for-4 with a double and two solo home runs. That breakout snapped an 0-for-12 slump and cemented his place as Cleveland’s all-time leader in multi-home run games—27 total—surpassing legends Jim Thome and Albert Belle.
Rookie DH Kyle Manzardo also contributed with a solo shot—his 21st of the season—continuing his power surge.
Miami’s offense struggled to keep pace, producing just one extra-base hit: a double from Heriberto Hernandez, who drove in a run. Dane Myers added another RBI but was one of only two Marlins to register more than one quality at-bat.
Pitching Matchup: Eury Pérez vs. Gavin Williams
Marlins RHP Eury Pérez (4–3, 3.25 ERA)
- WHIP: 1.01
- Strikeouts/9: 8.5
- Road ERA: 4.01 (in 7 starts)
- Last Start: 5 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 3 HR vs. Braves
- Vs. Guardians: First career meeting
Pérez enters his 12th start of the season trying to rebound from a rough outing in Atlanta, where he gave up three home runs in just over five innings. Despite that stumble, his season numbers suggest consistency and solid command.
Guardians RHP Gavin Williams (7–4, 3.17 ERA)
- WHIP: 1.30
- Strikeouts/9: 8.9
- Home ERA: 2.77 (in 12 starts)
- Last Start: 8 2/3 IP, 1 H, 1 ER vs. Mets
- Vs. Marlins: First career meeting
Williams is coming off a near-masterpiece against the Mets, allowing just one hit over 8 2/3 innings in a dominant performance. He’s been a force at Progressive Field, making Cleveland a confident pick on home turf.
Betting Breakdown: What to Watch
Moneyline
- Guardians -125 | Marlins +105
Cleveland is riding a hot streak, winning 6 of their last 7 and 22 of their last 30. With Williams dealing and the Guardians surging in the AL Central, backing the home team makes sense here.
Pick: Guardians -125
Run Line
- Guardians -1.5 (+165) | Marlins +1.5 (-200)
Miami has struggled to cover the run line as an underdog, going 1–3 in its last 4 in that spot. While the +1.5 might feel like safe insurance, the steep -200 price makes it a poor value play.
Pick: Avoid the run line
Over/Under (Total Runs: 8)
- Over +100 | Under -120
Though neither pitcher may have ace-level hype, the recent stats suggest a pitching duel. The Under is 3–1 in Pérez’s last four starts, and Williams has seen the Under hit in each of his last three.
Pick: Under 8 (-120)
Prediction
Guardians 3, Marlins 2
With Cleveland riding momentum and a strong home starter on the mound, expect another tight, low-scoring affair. Both pitchers have the tools to keep offenses in check, but Ramírez and the Guardians’ bats should be just enough to push Cleveland over the top again.
Quick Stats Recap
| Team | Record | Last 7 | Series | Key Player |
| Guardians | 62–56 | 6–1 | Lead 1–0 | José Ramírez (2 HRs in Game 1) |
| Marlins | 57–62 | 3–4 | Trail 0–1 | Eury Pérez (3.25 ERA) |
Fantasy Watch: Ramírez is heating up at the perfect time for fantasy managers, while Gavin Williams should be considered a solid stream option in season-long leagues.
Editor’s Note: All odds are courtesy of BetMGM and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.
If you or someone you know is struggling with gambling, contact the National Problem Gambling Helpline at 1-800-GAMBLER.
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